FIXED INCOME MARKETS
Money Market
Opening system liquidity fell by c. 27.31% from ₦65.64 billion on Friday to ₦47.72 billion today. In response, the Open Repo Rate (OPR) widened by 292bps to 5.50%, while the Overnight Rate (O/N) expanded by 296bps to 6.26%.
Outlook: We expect interbank rates to remain at single-digit levels tomorrow.
Treasury Bills
The Treasury Bills dived into a bullish territory, with average mid-rate falling by 52bps to close at 7.33%. A sizeable amount of the bullish bias revolved around the mid to long-dated papers.
Outlook: We expect market to repost the bullish bias, although, at a weaker pace.
FGN Bonds
The local bonds market relaxed on a bearish footing, as selling interests spilled around 2029s, 2050s and 2053s. Although, overall activity was relatively calm, as the average mid-yield propped up by 12bps to 14.20%.
Outlook: Market activity is expected to trade on a cautious note, pending the influx of FAAC credit.
Eurobonds
Given the absence of major market jitters, the Eurobonds market was tagged with less volatility with a touch of mild selling interest noticed across few papers. Consequently, the average yield increased by 2bps to 11.32%.
Outlook: We expect activity to be stirred by some US economic indicators tomorrow.
Equities
The Nigerian’s equity market started the week on a negative note, as the ASI declined by 0.66% to settle at 66, 882.64 points, while year-to-date return settled at c.30.50%. The selling interests seen on ACCESSCORP (-9.86%), OANDO (-9.70%) and MTNN (-1.67%) dragged the market to its bearish posture.
The NGX Banking and Consumer Goods Indices lost 3.18% and 0.14%, respectively. While the Industrial Index appreciated by 0.11%. However, the Oil & Gas Index closed flat. ACCESSCORP led both the volume and value charts with 113.39 million units and ₦1.78 billion, respectively.
Outlook: We expect the bearish trend to persist tomorrow.
Foreign Exchange
FMDQ’s Investors and Exporters (I&E) exchange rate depreciated to $/₦773.25, compared to $/₦747.46 recorded last Friday.
Outlook: We expect rates volatility to persist.
Commodities
Russia partly eased its oil export ban, lifting the restrictions for fuel used as bunkering for some vessels and diesel with high sulphur content. The ban on all types of gasoline and high-quality diesel remains in place. Surprisingly, oil prices declined slightly. For context, brent crude oil prices depreciated by 0.53% to $92.78 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate (WTI) lost 0.76% to US$89.35 per barrel as of writing time. Similarly, Spot Gold lost 0.40% to US$1,937.80 per ounce at the time of this report.
Outlook: We expect oil prices to stay elevated.
