Category: Macroeconomic Update

Nigeria’s Headline Inflation Figures: Recovery Momentum The annual inflation rate in Nigeria eased for the fifth straight month, down to 17.01% in August 2021 (from 17.38%, the previous month), and matching Bloomberg consensus estimate of 17.00%. It is the lowest inflation rate seen since January 2021, mainly due to the slowdown in food inflation. Please… Continue reading INFLATION WATCH – AUGUST 2021

Data released by the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) show that the Nigerian economy expanded for the third consecutive quarter, growing at its fastest pace since Q4 2014. The Nation’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) grew by 5.01% year-on-year in Q2 2021, lower than Bloomberg’s forecast of 5.6%. This expansion is ca +4.50% better than +0.51% growth recorded in Q1 2021, and +11.11% higher than the -6.10% contraction recorded in Q2 2020.

Nigeria’s Headline Inflation Figures: Sustained downward Trajectory Nigeria’s headline inflation fell for the fourth consecutive month, down 37bps Y-o-Y to 17.38% (from 17.75% in June’21). The inflation rate came in 12bps lower than the Bloomberg consensus estimate of 17.50%. Further supporting, the “steady price recovery” narrative, the headline index grew at a slower pace to… Continue reading INFLATION WATCH – JULY 2021

The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) of the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) concluded its fourth monetary policy meeting of 2021 today, maintaining all key rates.

A Persistent decline in Nigeria’s Headline Inflation Figures The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for June which was released today, shows that Nigeria’s headline inflation moderated for the third consecutive month, down 18bps Y-o-Y to 17.75% (from 17.93% in the prior month). The inflation rate came in 12bps lower than our estimate of 17.87% and… Continue reading INFLATION WATCH – JUNE 2021

The Debt Management Office (DMO) released the Federal Government of Nigeria (FGN) bond issuance calendar for third quarter of 2021, with total amount on offer of ca ₦540billion, ca +20% higher than ₦450billion offered in Q2 2021. The calendar indicated the reopening of the February 2028, March 2036 and March 2050 maturities.

The Nigerian Senate on 07 July 2021, approved the Federal Government’s request to borrow ca $6.1 billion (₦2.343 trillion) from Multilateral and Bilateral tenders as well as the international Capital Market. This borrowing, which was already approved in the Appropriation Act 2021 as part of the 2021 budget is expected to part-finance the 2021 budget deficit of ₦5.6 trillion.